The Film Thugs Movie Show

Christmas has come early folks!!! That’s right, the day you have been waiting for has finally arrived!!!!

The Golden Globe Nominations were announced to the wonderment of all.

Anyone?

Ok, so even for those who care about the major awards, The Globes are the junior varsity. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like we’re talking People’s Choice Awards or anything, but it’s still not an Oscar.

My Probable Winner is who I think will win, my choice is who I would vote for. Sometimes they will be the same, other times they will differ. I have done no research at this point, so my probables are basically blind guesses based off my instinct.

So, let’s look at my VERY early predictions.

Best Motion Picture - Drama

Nominees:

The Descendants (2011)

The Help (2011)

Hugo (2011/II)

The Ides of March (2011)

Moneyball (2011)

War Horse (2011)

I have only seen three of these (The Descendants, Hugo, and Moneyball), but I have loved each of them. All the buzz so far points to “The Descendants,” and I have to agree. Much as I love the others I honestly feel that is the best choice.

Probable Winner- The Descendants

Jim’s Choice- The Descendants

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Nominees:

The Artist (2011)

Bridesmaids (2011)

50/50 (2011)

Midnight in Paris (2011)

My Week with Marilyn (2011)

I love that they split this one in two. I really do. There is no competition in this category though, at least for me. Also, there is a ton of buzz on this one. Unless something stupid happens The Artist walks with this.

Probable Winner- The Artist

Jim’s Choice- The Artist

That also represents the battle for Best Picture at the Oscars. Of the two, my choice is The Artist. Hands down.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

Nominees:

George Clooney for The Descendants (2011)

Leonardo DiCaprio for J. Edgar (2011)

Michael Fassbender for Shame (2011)

Ryan Gosling for The Ides of March (2011)

Brad Pitt for Moneyball (2011)

I think Clooney will and should get this. Yeah, there is a lot of buzz on Fassbender, Gosling is always solid, Pitt is outstanding, Leo has been due for a while (but the feedback on Jedgar is way too devisive for this to be the one), but Clooney is so damned moving and impressive in this.

Probable Winner- Clooney

Jim’s Choice- Clooney

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

Nominees:

Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs (2011)

Viola Davis for The Help (2011)

Rooney Mara for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (2011)

Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady (2011)

Tilda Swinton for We Need to Talk About Kevin (2011)

This is a street fight between Close and Streep. I know there is a lot of hype around Iron Lady, but Albert Nobbs is the type of story and performance that garners a lot of attention. Plus Close is a criminally under appreciated actress (yeah, I said it). To me this one is too close to call, but who am I kidding? Streep will take this.

Probable Winner- Streep

Jim’s Choice- Toss Up- Streep and Close

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Nominees:

Jean Dujardin for The Artist (2011)

Brendan Gleeson for The Guard (2011)

Joseph Gordon-Levitt for 50/50 (2011)

Ryan Gosling for Crazy, Stupid, Love. (2011)

Owen Wilson for Midnight in Paris (2011)

Gordon Levitt has some weight here, but I am really pulling for Dujardin.

Probable Winner- Dujardin

Jim’s Choice- Dujardin

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Nominees:

Jodie Foster for Carnage (2011)

Charlize Theron for Young Adult (2011)

Kristen Wiig for Bridesmaids (2011)

Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn (2011)

Kate Winslet for Carnage (2011)

I love Jodie Foster and it’s nice to see her in something were terrible things don’t happen to her. But I think this is the year of Kristen Wiig, and we will see that come through here. There are few people in Hollywood who are as solid and reliable as Wiig, so I am all for this one even though I haven’t seen Bridesmaids.

Probable Winner- Wiig

Jim’s Choice- Wiig

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Nominees:

Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn (2011)

Albert Brooks for Drive (2011)

Jonah Hill for Moneyball (2011)

Viggo Mortensen for A Dangerous Method (2011)

Christopher Plummer for Beginners (2010)

I am not familiar enough to make an educated guess, but I think Plummer will win it because he is Chris Plummer. I have no issue with this.

Probable Winner- Plummer

Jim’s Choice- Plummer

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Nominees:

Bérénice Bejo for The Artist (2011)

Jessica Chastain for The Help (2011)

Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs (2011)

Octavia Spencer for The Help (2011)

Shailene Woodley for The Descendants (2011)

This has been the year of Jessica Chastain. Between The Help, The Debt, Tree of Life, and Coriolanus she has been racking up the award bait. So I think she takes it, although my vote is for Bejo.

Probable Winner- Chastain

Jim’s Choice- Bejo

Best Director - Motion Picture

Nominees:

Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris (2011)

George Clooney for The Ides of March (2011)

Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist (2011)

Alexander Payne for The Descendants (2011)

Martin Scorsese for Hugo (2011/II)

Wow! So… apparently Malik can go straight to hell. Surprising. This is a tough one. As good as Allen and Clooney are, this is between Scorsese, Payne, Hazanavicius. I don’t think Scorsese will take it, and it is an absolute toss up between the others. I’m going with a split on this. I really want The Artist to win, but I think that Payne is about to get his.

Probable Winner- Payne

Jim’s Choice- Hazanavicius

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture

Nominees:

The Artist (2011): Michel Hazanavicius

The Descendants (2011): Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash

The Ides of March (2011): George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon

Midnight in Paris (2011): Woody Allen

Moneyball (2011): Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin, Stan Chervin

This is an odd one. All very different, all very good, one very gutsy. You can never rule out Allen or Sorkin, but I don’t think this is the year for either. The Ides of March, while probably very good, is up against too much. This could go either way, but I am going with my gut.

Probable Winner- The Descendants

Jim’s Choice- The Artist

Best Original Song - Motion Picture

Nominees:

Albert Nobbs (2011): Brian Byrne, Glenn Close("Lay Your Head Down")

Gnomeo & Juliet (2011): Elton John, Bernie Taupin("Hello Hello")

The Help (2011): Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman, Harvey Mason Jr., Damon Thomas("The Living Proof")

Machine Gun Preacher (2011): Chris Cornell("The Keeper")

W.E. (2011): Madonna, Julie Frost, Jimmy Harry("Masterpiece")

I do not give a crap on this one. So… Elton John and Bernie Taupin?

Probable Winner- Hello, Hello- Elton John and Bernie Taupin

Jim’s Choice- Sure, same thing.

Best Original Score - Motion Picture

Nominees:

The Artist (2011): Ludovic Bource

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (2011): Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross

Hugo (2011/II): Howard Shore

War Horse (2011): John Williams

W.E. (2011): Abel Korzeniowski

I would go with Dragon Tattoo, but Trent won last year and the music in The Artist is too necessary.

Probable Winner- The Artist

Jim’s Choice- The Artist

Best Animated Film

Nominees:

The Adventures of Tintin (2011)

Arthur Christmas (2011)

Cars 2 (2011)

Puss in Boots (2011)

Rango (2011)

Apparently Peter Jackson has discovered a real up and comer in this Spielberg kid. I think the foreign press will go nuts for his radical cinematic stylings.

Probable Winner- Tintin

Jim’s Choice- I don’t really care, so Tintin.

Best Foreign Language Film

Nominees:

The Flowers of War (2011)(China)

In the Land of Blood and Honey (2011)(USA)

The Kid with a Bike (2011)(Belgium)

A Separation (2011)(Iran)

The Skin I Live In (2011)(Spain)

Have not seen any. But there is an Aldomovar up, so…

Probable Winner- The Skin I Live In

Jim’s Choice- Yeah, that.

Best Television Series - Drama

Nominees:

"American Horror Story" (2011)

"Boardwalk Empire" (2010)

"Boss" (2011)

"Game of Thrones" (2011)

"Homeland" (2011)

Between Boardwalk and Thrones. I can’t make a call for either.

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy

Nominees:

"Enlightened" (2011)

"Episodes" (2011)

"Glee" (2009)

"Modern Family" (2009)

"New Girl" (2011)

I think Modern Family continues its dominance.

Probable Winner- Modern Family

Jim’s Choice- Modern Family

Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees:

Cinema Verite (2011) (TV)

"Downton Abbey" (2010)

"The Hour" (2005)

"Mildred Pierce" (2011)

Too Big to Fail (2011) (TV)

Not familiar with any of these, but I’ve heard good things about Mildred Pierce.

Probable Winner- Mildred Pierce

Jim’s Choice- Sure, why not.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Drama

Nominees:

Steve Buscemi for "Boardwalk Empire" (2010)

Bryan Cranston for "Breaking Bad" (2008)

Kelsey Grammer for "Boss" (2011)

Jeremy Irons for "The Borgias" (2011)

Damian Lewis for "Homeland" (2011)

Tough one, but Cranston is such a beast that I see him taking it.

Probable Winner- Cranston

Jim’s Choice- Cranston

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Drama

Nominees:

Claire Danes for "Homeland" (2011)

Mireille Enos for "The Killing" (2011)

Julianna Margulies for "The Good Wife" (2009)

Madeleine Stowe for "Revenge" (2011)

Callie Thorne for "Necessary Roughness" (2011)

I’ve only seen the killing, and would love to see it win here, but it probably won’t. Gotta go with Miss Grandin on this.

Probable Winner- Danes

Jim’s Choice- Danes

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy

Nominees:

Alec Baldwin for "30 Rock" (2006)

David Duchovny for "Californication" (2007)

Johnny Galecki for "The Big Bang Theory" (2007)

Thomas Jane for "Hung" (2009)

Matt LeBlanc for "Episodes" (2011)

Galecki but not Parsons. Wow. Look at the stones on the globes! Way to buck trend, sir. I only watch 30 Rock and Californication. I honestly have no idea or choice on this one.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy

Nominees:

Laura Dern for "Enlightened" (2011)

Zooey Deschanel for "New Girl" (2011)

Tina Fey for "30 Rock" (2006)

Laura Linney for "The Big C" (2010)

Amy Poehler for "Parks and Recreation" (2009)

Again, only watch 30 Rock and Parks and Rec. However, Poehler has been so great this year that I think she takes it.

Probable Winner- Poehler

Jim’s Choice- Poehler

Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees:

Hugh Bonneville for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Idris Elba for "Luther" (2010)

William Hurt for Too Big to Fail (2011) (TV)

Bill Nighy for Page Eight (2011) (TV)

Dominic West for "The Hour" (2011)

I don’t know. William Hurt?

Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees:

Romola Garai for "The Hour" (2011)

Diane Lane for Cinema Verite (2011) (TV)

Elizabeth McGovern for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Emily Watson for "Appropriate Adult" (2011)

Kate Winslet for "Mildred Pierce" (2011)

Ummmmm…. Kate Winslet?

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees:

Peter Dinklage for "Game of Thrones" (2011)

Paul Giamatti for Too Big to Fail (2011) (TV)

Guy Pearce for "Mildred Pierce" (2011)

Tim Robbins for Cinema Verite (2011) (TV)

Eric Stonestreet for "Modern Family" (2009)

Some great people here, but Dinklage won the Emmy, and he is an absolute beast. You have to give the man his due, and I haven’t even seen the show yet.

Probable Winner- Dinklage

Jim’s Choice- Dinklage

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Nominees:

Jessica Lange for "American Horror Story" (2011)

Kelly Macdonald for "Boardwalk Empire" (2010)

Maggie Smith for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Sofía Vergara for "Modern Family" (2009)

Evan Rachel Wood for "Mildred Pierce" (2011)

Wow! Sofia Veraga! That would be amazing. She has been killing it on Modern Family lately. But, Kelly Macdonald has such a strong and complex character that I think she takes it. Oh, and she’s Scottish, so… yeah.

Probable Winner- MacDonald

Jim’s Choice- MacDonald

There it is, my off the cuff response.

Lets get some feedback going here, ey?